Steven Stamkos vs Zemgus Girgensons
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stamkos wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 53.4% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 55.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 77.8%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 58.6%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Stamkos
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Stamkos
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
3
Stamkos
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
0
Stamkos
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (628)
45.3% (128)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.1% (216)
50.0% (4)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (87)
45.3% (75)
-5.1%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Stamkos shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Girgensons
Home
55.5% (499)
41.0% (100)
Away
51.9% (432)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Stamkos
Girgensons
P1
50.7%
41.9%
P2
53.8%
53.9%
P3
55.9%
40.0%
OT
87.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.2%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |