Steven Stamkos vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Stamkos wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 54.6% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+12.2%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 85.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 74.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 51.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Stamkos
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (342)
43.2% (146)
+12.9%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
50.0% (2)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.8% (29)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Stamkos shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Girgensons
Home
53.4% (208)
40.3% (72)
Away
57.7% (234)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Stamkos
Girgensons
P1
55.6%
43.8%
P2
52.8%
44.6%
P3
59.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%