Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Oshie wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 47.5% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 76.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 87.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Oshie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Oshie
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Oshie
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
0
Oshie
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (29)
55.3% (897)
-7.0%
Power Play
46.3% (149)
61.1% (113)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.8% (132)
-50.8%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Oshie shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Oshie
Karlsson
Home
55.9% (93)
58.6% (560)
Away
35.6% (87)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Oshie
Karlsson
P1
50.9%
55.8%
P2
42.9%
55.6%
P3
43.6%
55.7%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |