Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Oshie wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 46.4% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 91.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 85.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 67.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Oshie
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Oshie
Karlsson
Last 10: Oshie 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
5
1
Oshie
Karlsson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
9
Oshie
Karlsson
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
1
Oshie
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (764)
51.8% (7,849)
-6.6%
Power Play
47.7% (1,221)
54.8% (1,048)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (164)
44.2% (1,109)
-4.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Oshie shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Oshie
Karlsson
Home
48.7% (1,103)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
43.7% (1,047)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Oshie
Karlsson
P1
47.3%
50.3%
P2
45.2%
51.3%
P3
46.7%
52.4%
OT
40.8%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 04:24 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 2, 2016 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | William Karlsson |