Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Thompson 45.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 60.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 93.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 81.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Thompson
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Henrique
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
44.7% (631)
+11.4%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
47.9% (94)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
33.3% (33)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Henrique is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
53.5% (215)
46.0% (391)
Away
55.2% (306)
43.1% (367)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
57.7%
47.7%
P2
53.8%
44.9%
P3
51.6%
41.3%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Thompson
30.0%▼
39.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |