Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Thompson wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 42.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 22-6 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 85.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 90.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 90.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Thompson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
22
(28 meetings)
6
22
Thompson
Nosek
Last 10: Thompson 3-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
5
Thompson
Nosek
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
14
Thompson
Nosek
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Thompson
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (3,521)
54.9% (2,674)
-12.0%
Power Play
46.8% (372)
44.7% (47)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (265)
47.4% (424)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Thompson shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nosek
Home
44.9% (2,115)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
40.3% (2,043)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Thompson
Nosek
P1
44.5%
52.3%
P2
43.6%
54.0%
P3
40.2%
54.6%
OT
36.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |