Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Thompson wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 41.2% vs Nosek 53.4% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 83.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 84.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 90.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Thompson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
14
(16 meetings)
2
14
Thompson
Nosek
Last 10: Thompson 1-9 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
5
Thompson
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
7
Thompson
Nosek
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Thompson
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (801)
55.1% (557)
-14.5%
Power Play
44.7% (103)
50.0% (4)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (71)
47.7% (111)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Thompson shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nosek
Home
43.2% (507)
52.3% (342)
Away
37.2% (468)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Thompson
Nosek
P1
37.7%
49.0%
P2
43.4%
53.8%
P3
39.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |