Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Thompson wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 43.8% vs Nosek 58.0% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 87.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 53.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Thompson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Thompson
Nosek
Last 10: Thompson 3-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
7
Thompson
Nosek
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (735)
59.7% (469)
-16.4%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
100.0% (4)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (52)
56.5% (124)
-20.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Thompson shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nosek
Home
44.5% (407)
59.0% (295)
Away
41.6% (406)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Thompson
Nosek
P1
44.4%
56.3%
P2
44.8%
61.9%
P3
40.2%
59.2%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 13:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |