Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 44.0% vs Motte 50.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 60.9%
Defensive zone
Motte 51.9%
Neutral zone
Motte 64.2%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Thompson
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Thompson
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Motte
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Thompson
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (709)
49.7% (149)
-5.1%
Power Play
41.5% (53)
100.0% (1)
-58.5%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (97)
60.0% (5)
-24.9%
On power play, Motte has a +58.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Thompson shoots right. Motte is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Thompson
Motte
Home
45.5% (426)
49.4% (89)
Away
41.1% (433)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Thompson
Motte
P1
48.5%
51.7%
P2
43.8%
50.0%
P3
38.1%
48.8%
Final 5 min
37.8%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.3%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |