Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.6% vs 42.8%). Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 42.8% vs Motte 44.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Motte 53.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Thompson
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Thompson
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Motte
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Thompson
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (3,521)
43.6% (424)
-0.7%
Power Play
46.8% (372)
41.7% (12)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (265)
37.9% (66)
-4.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Thompson shoots right. Motte is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Thompson
Motte
Home
44.9% (2,115)
45.2% (248)
Away
40.3% (2,043)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Thompson
Motte
P1
44.5%
44.6%
P2
43.6%
42.1%
P3
40.2%
41.8%
OT
36.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |