Tage Thompson vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Thompson wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 42.8% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 67.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 76.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 64.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Thompson
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Thompson
Karlsson
Last 10: Thompson 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
6
5
Thompson
Karlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
4
Thompson
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
3
Thompson
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (3,521)
51.8% (7,849)
-8.9%
Power Play
46.8% (372)
54.8% (1,048)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
33.6% (265)
44.2% (1,109)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Thompson shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Thompson
Karlsson
Home
44.9% (2,115)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
40.3% (2,043)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Thompson
Karlsson
P1
44.5%
50.3%
P2
43.6%
51.3%
P3
40.2%
52.4%
OT
36.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:44 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |