Tage Thompson vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 45.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-12.9%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 67.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Thompson
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (642)
58.5% (135)
-13.6%
Power Play
47.9% (94)
80.0% (5)
-32.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
44.4% (18)
-11.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Thompson shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Thompson
Karlsson
Home
46.0% (391)
63.7% (91)
Away
43.4% (378)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Thompson
Karlsson
P1
48.1%
54.4%
P2
44.9%
66.7%
P3
41.2%
51.9%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%