Tage Thompson vs William Karlsson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 44.0% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 96.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 86.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 91.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 92.0%
8.0%
92.0%
Thompson
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Thompson
Karlsson
Last 10: Thompson 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
1
Thompson
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Thompson
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (709)
56.3% (739)
-11.7%
Power Play
41.5% (53)
58.6% (181)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (97)
47.2% (53)
-12.1%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Thompson shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Thompson
Karlsson
Home
45.5% (426)
56.5% (462)
Away
41.1% (433)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Thompson
Karlsson
P1
48.5%
57.1%
P2
43.8%
55.2%
P3
38.1%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |