Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Pearson wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pearson 39.2% vs Wilson 42.4% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Pearson 60.9%
Defensive zone
Wilson 62.8%
Neutral zone
Pearson 50.7%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Pearson
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pearson
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
34.1% (232)
40.8% (240)
-6.7%
Power Play
44.4% (72)
38.5% (65)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
26.3% (19)
41.3% (104)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Pearson is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Pearson shoots left. Wilson is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Pearson
Wilson
Home
32.7% (165)
33.7% (187)
Away
39.2% (158)
46.4% (222)
By Period
Pearson
Wilson
P1
40.4%
42.0%
P2
33.0%
44.8%
P3
34.9%
33.3%
OT
27.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
32.9%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
35.9%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
40.6%