Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pearson 45.1% vs Wilson 45.0% (-14.0%)
Offensive zone
Pearson 59.0%
Defensive zone
Wilson 66.0%
Neutral zone
Wilson 51.0%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Pearson
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pearson
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
17.6% (17)
28.0% (25)
-10.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
40.0% (5)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
43.3% (30)
-43.3%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Pearson is 12.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Pearson shoots left. Wilson is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Pearson
Wilson
Home
30.0% (10)
26.9% (26)
Away
16.7% (12)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Pearson
Wilson
P1
25.0%
44.4%
P2
20.0%
31.8%
P3
25.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
25.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
22.7%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
36.7%