Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Pearson wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pearson 44.6% vs Wilson 47.4% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Pearson 55.7%
Defensive zone
Wilson 58.7%
Neutral zone
Pearson 50.4%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Pearson
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pearson
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (32)
43.5% (23)
-6.0%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
31.8% (22)
+0.2%
On even strength, Wilson has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Pearson is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Pearson shoots left. Wilson is 34.2% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Pearson
Wilson
Home
21.7% (23)
48.0% (25)
Away
44.1% (34)
37.0% (27)
By Period
Pearson
Wilson
P1
53.3%
33.3%
P2
26.9%
64.3%
P3
31.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
30.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
35.1%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
42.3%