Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pearson 45.2% vs Zegras 41.3% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Pearson 50.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 66.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 56.8%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Pearson
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pearson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
26.1% (23)
36.5% (156)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
On even strength, Zegras has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Pearson is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Pearson shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Pearson
Zegras
Home
14.3% (14)
38.9% (113)
Away
40.0% (10)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Pearson
Zegras
P1
11.1%
40.0%
P2
44.4%
38.1%
P3
16.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
25.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%