Tanner Pearson vs Trevor Zegras

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Trevor Zegras holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pearson 45.0% vs Zegras 35.4% (-10.3%)
Offensive zone Zegras 72.6%
Defensive zone Pearson 52.5%
Neutral zone Zegras 57.7%
Result Trevor Zegras favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Pearson Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pearson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
16.7% (18)
29.6% (230)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Pearson is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Pearson shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Pearson
Zegras
Home
15.4% (13)
30.6% (147)
Away
28.6% (7)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Pearson
Zegras
P1
30.0%
33.0%
P2
16.7%
31.7%
P3
0.0%
25.6%
Final 5 min
40.0%
29.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pearson
24.0%
31.0%
20.0%
Zegras
16.0%
26.5%
30.3%