Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.7% vs Blueger 48.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 54.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 72.7%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Bedard
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bedard
Blueger
Last 6: Bedard 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (450)
50.2% (223)
-6.0%
Power Play
70.0% (30)
62.5% (8)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
31.9% (47)
+21.9%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Bedard shoots right. Blueger is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Bedard
Blueger
Home
50.7% (223)
50.0% (192)
Away
42.2% (270)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Bedard
Blueger
P1
40.8%
46.2%
P2
48.2%
51.5%
P3
48.0%
43.2%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
46.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |