Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Blueger 45.7% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 59.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 90.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 79.1%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Toews
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Toews
Blueger
Last 8: Toews 2-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Toews
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
4
Toews
Blueger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
48.1% (653)
+7.8%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
29.6% (27)
+33.2%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
38.1% (210)
+17.8%
On power play, Toews has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Blueger is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Toews
Blueger
Home
56.6% (709)
45.5% (473)
Away
58.0% (785)
44.8% (417)
By Period
Toews
Blueger
P1
60.4%
48.0%
P2
57.6%
44.9%
P3
54.3%
43.1%
OT
59.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:24 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |