Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Stützle wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stützle 52.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 58.4%
Defensive zone
Gourde 86.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 60.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Stützle
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Stützle
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Stützle
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Stützle
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stützle
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (485)
47.2% (654)
+5.8%
Power Play
55.2% (58)
45.0% (20)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
32.2% (87)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Stützle shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Stützle
Gourde
Home
52.5% (282)
44.1% (322)
Away
54.3% (291)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Stützle
Gourde
P1
52.1%
42.4%
P2
56.2%
49.8%
P3
52.0%
44.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |