Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stützle wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stützle 45.8% vs Gourde 48.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Stützle 57.5%
Defensive zone
Gourde 57.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Stützle
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Stützle
Gourde
Last 10: Stützle 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
4
0
Stützle
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
4
Stützle
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Stützle
Gourde
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stützle
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (2,292)
48.4% (4,954)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.4% (101)
57.4% (376)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (86)
39.9% (554)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Stützle is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,489).
Stützle shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Stützle
Gourde
Home
47.7% (1,282)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
43.4% (1,197)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Stützle
Gourde
P1
47.1%
49.9%
P2
45.4%
47.4%
P3
44.1%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
37.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |