Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 47.4% vs Arvidsson 46.6% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 55.1%
Defensive zone
Arvidsson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Arvidsson 51.1%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Wilson
Arvidsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Arvidsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (23)
40.0% (30)
+3.5%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
0.0% (2)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
0.0% (1)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arvidsson shoots right. Wilson is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Wilson shoots right. Arvidsson is 14.3% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Wilson
Arvidsson
Home
48.0% (25)
33.3% (12)
Away
37.0% (27)
38.1% (21)
By Period
Wilson
Arvidsson
P1
33.3%
36.4%
P2
64.3%
43.8%
P3
41.7%
25.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
42.3%
Arvidsson
36.0%▼
37.5%
36.4%