Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Wilson wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Arvidsson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 42.4% vs Arvidsson 39.7% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Arvidsson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Wilson 58.9%
Neutral zone
Wilson 50.6%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Wilson
Arvidsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Arvidsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (240)
35.7% (241)
+5.1%
Power Play
38.5% (65)
38.9% (36)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
37.5% (8)
+3.8%
On even strength, Wilson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arvidsson shoots right. Wilson is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Wilson shoots right. Arvidsson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Wilson
Arvidsson
Home
33.7% (187)
31.5% (143)
Away
46.4% (222)
40.8% (142)
By Period
Wilson
Arvidsson
P1
42.0%
35.4%
P2
44.8%
35.9%
P3
33.3%
39.0%
OT
16.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
41.3%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
40.6%
Arvidsson
36.0%▼
37.5%
36.1%