Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dube on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 48.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 56.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 88.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 76.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Dube
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Dube
Hertl
Last 7: Dube 6-1 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dube
4
0
Dube
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Dube
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dube
2
0
Dube
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (171)
51.6% (1,084)
-3.6%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
61.0% (246)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
44.1% (136)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dube is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Dube shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Dube
Hertl
Home
48.9% (88)
55.2% (696)
Away
46.2% (106)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Dube
Hertl
P1
44.9%
55.4%
P2
44.7%
54.8%
P3
55.1%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Dillon Dube |