Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Benn wins 64.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Hertl 54.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 74.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 68.7%
Neutral zone
Benn 69.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Benn
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Benn
Hertl
Last 6: Benn 6-0 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
0
Benn
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
54.1% (1,117)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
59.8% (296)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
34.4% (32)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Benn is 64.7% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Benn shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Benn
Hertl
Home
64.4% (433)
54.3% (709)
Away
55.8% (432)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Benn
Hertl
P1
61.8%
51.6%
P2
59.6%
53.6%
P3
59.2%
58.6%
OT
55.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
62.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |