Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Khaira on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Khaira wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Khaira 46.5% vs Hertl 51.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Khaira 52.4%
Defensive zone
Khaira 51.3%
Neutral zone
Khaira 57.2%
Result
Jujhar Khaira favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Khaira
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Khaira
Hertl
Last 5: Khaira 2-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Khaira
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Khaira
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Khaira
2
1
Khaira
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Khaira
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (103)
51.7% (869)
-7.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.7% (176)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
44.9% (138)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Khaira is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Khaira shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Khaira
Hertl
Home
45.0% (60)
51.8% (583)
Away
42.4% (66)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Khaira
Hertl
P1
34.2%
52.5%
P2
38.6%
50.9%
P3
56.8%
51.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
43.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |