Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kupari 52.1% vs Hertl 55.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.3%
Defensive zone
Kupari 91.7%
Neutral zone
Kupari 62.2%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Kupari
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kupari
Hertl
Last 8: Kupari 2-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Kupari
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
2
0
Kupari
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kupari
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kupari
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (413)
54.1% (717)
-0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.9% (210)
-61.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (85)
58.1% (31)
-9.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +61.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kupari is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Kupari shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Kupari
Hertl
Home
52.1% (257)
58.1% (492)
Away
52.9% (242)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Kupari
Hertl
P1
50.6%
57.1%
P2
53.6%
54.0%
P3
53.3%
56.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |