Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.8%). Laughton wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laughton 56.0% vs Hertl 57.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 89.3%
Defensive zone
Laughton 87.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 50.9%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Laughton
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Laughton
Hertl
Last 5: Laughton 2-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Laughton
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
2
0
Laughton
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Laughton
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laughton
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (446)
58.0% (816)
-2.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
56.5% (260)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (136)
62.9% (35)
-0.4%
On power play, Laughton has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laughton is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Laughton shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Laughton
Hertl
Home
57.4% (263)
59.7% (561)
Away
56.7% (323)
55.8% (550)
By Period
Laughton
Hertl
P1
56.0%
51.4%
P2
61.1%
64.1%
P3
53.1%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.0%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laughton
60.0%▲
55.5%
57.0%
Hertl
54.0%▼
58.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |