Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.6% vs Trenin 44.8% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 85.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 58.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 71.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Hertl
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hertl
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Hertl
Trenin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Trenin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (632)
39.8% (83)
+16.8%
Power Play
58.7% (206)
0.0% (1)
+58.7%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (22)
41.2% (17)
+22.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +58.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Hertl shoots left. Trenin is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trenin
Home
59.7% (434)
46.0% (50)
Away
54.9% (426)
33.3% (51)
By Period
Hertl
Trenin
P1
51.0%
42.2%
P2
64.0%
34.5%
P3
57.8%
40.7%
Final 5 min
58.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%
Trenin
46.0%▲
40.0%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |