Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 57.2% vs Trenin 44.5% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 86.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 58.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 75.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Hertl
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hertl
Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Hertl
Trenin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
0
Hertl
Trenin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (823)
40.0% (90)
+18.1%
Power Play
56.2% (265)
0.0% (1)
+56.2%
Penalty Kill
62.9% (35)
40.0% (20)
+22.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +56.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Hertl shoots left. Trenin is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Hertl
Trenin
Home
59.7% (561)
45.5% (55)
Away
55.9% (562)
33.9% (56)
By Period
Hertl
Trenin
P1
51.6%
39.2%
P2
63.8%
38.7%
P3
58.6%
41.4%
Final 5 min
58.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Trenin
42.0%▲
40.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |