Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +30.7% FO% edge overall. Hertl wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 56.8% vs Ostapchuk 43.3% (+30.7%)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.1%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 50.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Hertl
Ostapchuk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (718)
26.8% (41)
+30.2%
On even strength, Hertl has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Hertl shoots left. Ostapchuk is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Hertl
Ostapchuk
Home
59.2% (463)
38.9% (18)
Away
56.0% (520)
17.4% (23)
By Period
Hertl
Ostapchuk
P1
56.3%
31.6%
P2
55.4%
20.0%
P3
60.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
26.8%