Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Dvorak wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 56.0% vs Nosek 53.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 51.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 66.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 58.0%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Dvorak
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dvorak
Nosek
Last 9: Dvorak 3-6 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
5
Dvorak
Nosek
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Dvorak
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (714)
55.1% (557)
+0.6%
Power Play
61.1% (131)
50.0% (4)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (122)
47.7% (111)
+9.7%
On power play, Dvorak has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Dvorak is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (553).
Dvorak shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Nosek
Home
59.0% (432)
52.3% (342)
Away
54.8% (535)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Dvorak
Nosek
P1
58.7%
49.0%
P2
53.9%
53.8%
P3
57.2%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
56.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:05 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |