Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.7%). Look for Grant on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Nosek 51.3% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 74.9%
Defensive zone
Grant 72.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 51.7%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Grant
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Grant
Nosek
Last 7: Grant 5-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
2
1
Grant
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
3
1
Grant
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
52.7% (355)
+1.8%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
28.6% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (137)
44.0% (25)
-2.4%
On power play, Grant has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Grant shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Grant
Nosek
Home
51.5% (266)
52.8% (214)
Away
50.7% (300)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Grant
Nosek
P1
48.3%
54.2%
P2
52.2%
53.1%
P3
52.8%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
60.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |