Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brown wins 35.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Nosek 53.4% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 81.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 69.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 74.9%
Result
Logan Brown favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Brown
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Brown
Nosek
Last 6: Brown 1-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Brown
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Brown
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
39.2% (166)
55.1% (557)
-15.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.7% (111)
-47.7%
On power play, Brown has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Brown is 35.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Brown shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Brown
Nosek
Home
36.5% (85)
52.3% (342)
Away
42.2% (83)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Brown
Nosek
P1
42.1%
49.0%
P2
29.1%
53.8%
P3
46.4%
57.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
39.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Logan Brown |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |