Scouting Report
Mitchell Stephens holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephens 52.0% vs Nosek 50.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 67.1%
Defensive zone
Stephens 63.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Stephens
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephens
Nosek
Last 5: Stephens 2-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Stephens
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
1
0
Stephens
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Stephens
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephens
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (296)
51.2% (377)
+3.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
50.0% (10)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
41.3% (46)
+4.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Stephens shoots right. Nosek is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Stephens
Nosek
Home
54.8% (177)
48.3% (240)
Away
50.3% (179)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Stephens
Nosek
P1
55.4%
48.4%
P2
50.4%
51.4%
P3
52.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |