Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Byfield wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Byfield 46.6% vs Nosek 53.4% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 83.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 50.8%
Neutral zone
Byfield 65.1%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Byfield
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Byfield
Nosek
Last 7: Byfield 2-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Byfield
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Byfield
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Byfield
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Byfield
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (262)
55.1% (557)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.7% (111)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Byfield is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Byfield shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Byfield
Nosek
Home
43.0% (114)
52.3% (342)
Away
47.2% (159)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Byfield
Nosek
P1
46.5%
49.0%
P2
41.9%
53.8%
P3
47.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
45.4%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |