Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hartman wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Nosek 58.0% (-16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 91.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 64.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 78.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Hartman
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hartman
Nosek
Last 9: Hartman 2-7 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Hartman
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Hartman
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
59.7% (469)
-17.1%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
100.0% (4)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
56.5% (124)
-7.7%
On power play, Nosek has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Hartman shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Hartman
Nosek
Home
43.4% (288)
59.0% (295)
Away
42.4% (276)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Hartman
Nosek
P1
43.1%
56.3%
P2
43.4%
61.9%
P3
42.0%
59.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:45 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |