Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.6% vs Boyd 44.1% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 79.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 94.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 93.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Nosek
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Nosek
Boyd
Last 10: Nosek 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
2
5
Nosek
Boyd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
7
1
Nosek
Boyd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
5
0
Nosek
Boyd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (2,674)
44.4% (2,186)
+10.5%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
46.5% (256)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (424)
35.6% (208)
+11.8%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Nosek shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Nosek
Boyd
Home
52.7% (1,631)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
54.8% (1,514)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Nosek
Boyd
P1
52.3%
41.7%
P2
54.0%
46.2%
P3
54.6%
44.0%
OT
75.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |