Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nosek wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.4% vs Boyd 45.8% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 56.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 82.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Nosek
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Nosek
Boyd
Last 8: Nosek 6-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Nosek
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
4
0
Nosek
Boyd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
0
Nosek
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (557)
45.9% (784)
+9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
43.2% (81)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (111)
40.3% (62)
+7.4%
On even strength, Nosek has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Nosek shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Nosek
Boyd
Home
52.3% (342)
45.1% (501)
Away
55.5% (330)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Nosek
Boyd
P1
49.0%
45.9%
P2
53.8%
44.6%
P3
57.9%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.3%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:20 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:00 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |