Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nosek wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 58.0% vs Boyd 43.9% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyd 57.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 92.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 83.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Nosek
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Nosek
Boyd
Last 10: Nosek 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
3
Nosek
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
0
Nosek
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
4
0
Nosek
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (469)
43.4% (893)
+16.3%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
51.5% (136)
+48.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (124)
34.6% (127)
+21.9%
On power play, Nosek has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Nosek shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Nosek
Boyd
Home
59.0% (295)
46.0% (570)
Away
59.6% (302)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Nosek
Boyd
P1
56.3%
38.9%
P2
61.9%
50.4%
P3
59.2%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
61.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |