Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Nosek wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.4% vs Jost 42.2% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 52.4%
Defensive zone
Nosek 54.1%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Nosek
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Nosek
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
0
Nosek
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Nosek
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (557)
40.8% (314)
+14.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (111)
39.4% (104)
+8.3%
On even strength, Nosek has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Nosek shoots left. Jost is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Nosek
Jost
Home
52.3% (342)
42.8% (264)
Away
55.5% (330)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Nosek
Jost
P1
49.0%
37.4%
P2
53.8%
40.5%
P3
57.9%
43.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |