Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nosek wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.6% vs Jost 40.5% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 67.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 75.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 68.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Nosek
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Nosek
Jost
Last 10: Nosek 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
1
Nosek
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
1
Nosek
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
2
4
Nosek
Jost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (2,674)
41.0% (2,014)
+13.9%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
34.2% (73)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (424)
35.3% (255)
+12.1%
On even strength, Nosek has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Nosek shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Nosek
Jost
Home
52.7% (1,631)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
54.8% (1,514)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Nosek
Jost
P1
52.3%
38.5%
P2
54.0%
41.2%
P3
54.6%
40.9%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |