Scouting Report
Matthew Poitras holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Poitras wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tatar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 45.3% vs Tatar 41.1% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Tatar 56.3%
Defensive zone
Poitras 51.1%
Neutral zone
Poitras 50.1%
Result
Tomas Tatar favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Poitras
Tatar
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Tatar
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (388)
37.3% (268)
+6.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
41.4% (70)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
100.0% (2)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Tatar has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tatar shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Poitras shoots right. Tatar is 36.6% vs right-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Poitras
Tatar
Home
43.6% (195)
37.1% (178)
Away
44.7% (206)
40.1% (162)
By Period
Poitras
Tatar
P1
42.6%
39.4%
P2
45.5%
38.1%
P3
44.1%
38.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
27.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Tatar
42.0%▲
38.0%
38.5%