Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.3% vs Smith 39.7% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Novak
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (1,539)
33.0% (191)
+9.1%
Power Play
51.9% (133)
48.1% (27)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Novak has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Novak shoots left. Smith is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Novak
Smith
Home
45.3% (814)
33.6% (128)
Away
40.6% (860)
37.0% (92)
By Period
Novak
Smith
P1
43.9%
37.1%
P2
42.8%
32.9%
P3
41.7%
33.3%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
35.0%