Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 45.0% vs Smith 41.4% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Smith 53.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 54.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.0%
Result
Will Smith favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Novak
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (198)
33.3% (153)
+9.6%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
56.5% (23)
-15.6%
On power play, Smith has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Novak shoots left. Smith is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Novak
Smith
Home
40.9% (110)
35.1% (111)
Away
44.5% (110)
38.8% (67)
By Period
Novak
Smith
P1
39.1%
41.5%
P2
43.9%
32.8%
P3
44.9%
33.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
25.5%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
36.5%