Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Novak wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Novak 43.4% vs Smith 43.7% (+13.2%)
Offensive zone
Novak 61.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.0%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Novak
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Novak
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (379)
31.6% (38)
+9.8%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
0.0% (4)
+46.9%
On power play, Novak has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Novak shoots left. Smith is 29.4% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Novak
Smith
Home
42.6% (195)
23.5% (17)
Away
41.2% (216)
32.0% (25)
By Period
Novak
Smith
P1
42.4%
25.0%
P2
39.2%
33.3%
P3
44.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.4%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
28.6%