Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tkachuk wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.6% vs Boyd 43.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 73.8%
Defensive zone
Boyd 93.2%
Neutral zone
Boyd 67.3%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Tkachuk
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Tkachuk
Boyd
Last 6: Tkachuk 1-5 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
5
Tkachuk
Boyd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (421)
43.4% (893)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.3% (336)
51.5% (136)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
34.6% (127)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Boyd has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Tkachuk is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Tkachuk shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Boyd
Home
49.9% (389)
46.0% (570)
Away
46.8% (376)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Tkachuk
Boyd
P1
44.4%
38.9%
P2
51.8%
50.4%
P3
47.8%
41.1%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |