Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Boyd 43.9% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Evans 61.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 83.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Evans
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Evans
Boyd
Last 10: Evans 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
1
Evans
Boyd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
1
Evans
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
43.4% (893)
+11.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
51.5% (136)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
34.6% (127)
+9.3%
On even strength, Evans has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Evans is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Evans shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Evans
Boyd
Home
49.4% (336)
46.0% (570)
Away
54.8% (314)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Evans
Boyd
P1
55.8%
38.9%
P2
51.7%
50.4%
P3
48.2%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |