Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 56.4% vs Boyd 45.8% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 85.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 93.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 93.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Carter
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Boyd
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (885)
45.9% (784)
+12.0%
Power Play
61.7% (133)
43.2% (81)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
40.3% (62)
+5.1%
On power play, Carter has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Carter shoots right. Boyd is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Carter
Boyd
Home
58.2% (543)
45.1% (501)
Away
55.9% (594)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Carter
Boyd
P1
57.5%
45.9%
P2
57.1%
44.6%
P3
55.8%
45.8%
OT
68.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |